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How much did the rate rises this year cut off how much I can borrow?

Bayley ClarkeBayley Clarke · Mortgage broker on the road · Last checked 16 October 2026 · 3 min read

The short answer

It depends on your income, but what I've been seeing is roughly $50k cut from borrowing capacity for a single applicant, and around $100k for a couple.

Those aren't exact numbers, so don't take them as gospel. It's made a real difference to how much people can borrow. Prices have been coming down too, which evens it out a little, but the banks have really restricted how much they'll lend.

The 60 second version, filmed from the driver's seat. The rest of this page is the detail underneath it.

Why a few rate rises take so much off

The bank doesn't test you at the rate you'll actually pay. It adds a buffer, generally around 3%, and checks you could still afford the repayments at that higher rate. Every time the actual rate goes up, the tested rate goes up with it.

So the same income is now being stretched over a more expensive pretend repayment, and the loan it can support gets smaller. That's how a handful of rate rises turns into a five or six figure drop in what you can borrow, even when your own repayments only moved a bit.

What the numbers look like

For a single applicant, I've been seeing roughly $50k come off. For a couple, call it $100k. The higher your income and the bigger the loan you were aiming for, the more it generally moves, because the buffer is working on a bigger number.

So for you that means if you were pre-qualified at, say, $600k at the start of the year, it's worth assuming you're somewhere lower now until we rerun it. Not because anything about you changed. Because the bank's test did. Your own number depends on your income, your debts and your spending, and only a fresh run will tell you.

Swings and roundabouts

It's not all one way. Property prices have been easing in a lot of places too, so some of what you've lost in borrowing is offset by what you'd now be paying. It doesn't generally even out like for like, but it softens it.

And rates go up and rates come down. If you're buying a home to live in for the long run, the right move is usually to keep the long-term plan and vision, know your numbers today, and buy what you can comfortably afford now rather than waiting for the perfect month.

The honest bit: those numbers are a pattern, not your number

The $50k and $100k figures are what I've been seeing across the people I've run lately. Your result could be more or less, depending on your income, your debts and which lender you end up with, because lenders run their buffers and floors a little differently.

If you want to know how it changes your capacity, send me a message and I'll run it for you.

Want to know your number after the rate rises?

A 30 minute call. We put your income, debts and spending through the lenders at today's settings, and you see exactly what you can borrow now and what moves it.

No cost to you. The bank pays me when a loan settles. · How I get paid